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Is the fact that Delaware’s most qualified candidate got 186 votes. It goes to show the ineffectiveness of running on a third party ticket against an incumbent and the challenger from the previous election before.
It was a noble effort and had an unbelievable amazing amount of support from those outside his district who unfortunately were not able to vote for that candidate. I think it does point out the prejudice many people have to third parties here in America. “If you truly were a good candidate, you’d be on the ballot of one of the major parties, so therefore you can’t be that good, especially if I’ve never heard of you.” … I think that line best sums up the thought-process of most average Americans when they go into a booth and decide which button to push…..
It also does show that although voting (for us who love politics) is a never ending passion, it is an enthusiasm that many of our neighbors do not share… When we espouse the absolutely necessity of certain events taking, because they lead to other events to follow which will better their lives, their eyes glaze and they give it as much worth as if the Titans had to beat the Jaguars for your fantasy team to excel….
And it may be for the best. Our blogging world as lagged without Steve’s daily input. Fights that should have seen the light of day, have languished without the right set of eyes to pull them out from their hiding holes… Perhaps it is better that the brilliance and wisdom of Steve be not confined to the floor of our General Assembly where a coalition could effectively bottle it up and silence it, but be strewn again to the winds of cyberspace where unlimited possibilities lie for it to land and become fertile. An active activist can not be an activist unless he remains active (or something like that).
He will surprisingly find that very few of his acquaintance will ever know the outcome… If they ask, just say you fell short and leave it at that. That is all they want to know anyway, is if their Steve is back… The rest of the world goes on, and if you quickly forget, so will they….. (That will be your biggest surprise; how quickly you fit right back into old and people don’t even seem to know you’ve been away.)
Through Steve’s and Catherine’s endeavor to try to launch through a third party, I have received insight…. Money. One needs a sponsor, a patron with a pocket book, to first build a party; one needs mailers comparable to the other two parties arriving on doorsteps and mailboxes first outlining the need for a third party; and to arrive in off- times long before the election, when one does not automatically throw every lit drop piece in the trash, and is so grateful for a piece of mail, they will actually read it…. Build the idea of a third party first, and see if they will come…
As for a name, from watching this cycle I now lean more to the Greens than either Independents or Libertarians as a name to head the third party… However to counter the notion that Greens are a flaky liberal party of unrealistic aspirations, I would change the name to the Green Money party… (how can anyone not like green money) and a platform as this: we are for the growth of small businesses, people’s prosperity, which are done in ways to enhance the environment, not destroy it.
Something along those lines… Could we launch a third party in time for 2016? We’d need 40,000 people and then in Delaware we could no longer be ignored. Though not capable of winning on our own, we would by playing off one party against the other, make them both forced to listen to us. One would think, at least.
Understanding what happened can clearly be seen in Delaware’s vote totals across three election cycles… 2010, 2012, 2014….
We will use John Carney.
2010 John Carney received 173,543 votes over the Republican (Urquhart) : 125,442
2012 John Carney received 249,933 votes over the Republican (Kovach) : 129757
2014 John Carney received 137,245 votes over the Republican (Izzo) : 85142
But from these little glimpse, it appears that there are between 125,000 and 130,000 of Delawareans who consistently come out and vote Republican, no matter what year the election…
Democrats however have fluctuations between 112,688 and 76,390 depending on whether the election is on or off season.
Rose Isso is a hard case to compare anything too, especially when Priscilla Rakestraw admits even she voted for John Carney… But one can see that in an off election, the Republican’s best 129,757 (Kovach) is only 7488 away from the Democrat’s worst take over these past three elections.
If Republicans can find a candidate as qualified as their state treasurer this year capable of stealing votes away from Democrats as did Simpler, and have several third party candidates siphon off the Progressive protest vote, they could possibly win Congress in 2018… But not 2016… Too many Democrats vote that year….
As post mortem analysis starts to heat up, let us cut to the chase. The Dem’s received a surprise wave of national majority in 2012 and 2008, because their sleep-walker base was excited to vote. They woke up because they had something on the line… It would be safe to say that across this nation since before 2000, we naturally tend to go Republican in off years (whereas Delaware becomes evenly balanced) unless Democratic voters get excited, wake up, and feel they have something on-the-line to vote for; then it becomes overwhelmingly Democratic.
By now it should start to sink in that Democrats had success in 2006, 2008, 2012 because of Obama. 2010 and 2014 will simply prove it, that when you don’t use Obama, you lose big in huge population centers which predominantly now determine each state’s winner. (Example: Virginia is 65-35 Red everywhere except Richmond, Norfolk, and Fairfax County (DC) which since 2008 have been enough to turn VA blue)…
That is the lesson. Republicans have consistently been excited ever since “dat, der Kenyian took office”… Democrats need to find the same level of enthusiasm … because they already have the registered votes. They just can’t get them to vote.
The problem is not GOTV for dems.. They had the best-run machine ever. It’s the internal excitement, that element of patriotism missing inside every non-Republican voter…