Last December I’d stumbled across this interactive map put up by the PEW foundation,  which had accumulated each state’s research of how many people were unemployed long termed back then, and how many were slipping off the roles this upcoming year… What I want to show, is the economic consequences of not continuing unemployment benefits, and to show it on a state by state basis.   The economic cost is nothing to ignore….As you may remember, Walmart is reeling from the food stamps (SNAP) cutbacks last November.  Their figures for this quarter come out early April.  But having some of their biggest clients drop out of society’s economics, jolted them last quarter..

The numbers for my state were estimated lower than reality.. PEW underestimated in December what Delaware actually reported in January by about 10%… Therefore these numbers should be considered baseline conservative estimates only, and very believable..  If they shock you, the reality is probably much worse….

As you know, all those already  on long termed unemployment  stopped receiving benefits on December 28th of last year.  Subsequently each week, every state has some members on its state’s unemployment roles who expire, and normally would get dumped into the federal program and continue being able to contribute to our economy while they look for work…That number gets bigger each week…

The idea occurred to me (and I did a piece on my own state),  that we could figure the economic damage relatively easily by finding the number of unemployed, calculating their economic worth by extending the average check amount, and applying a multiplier to account for the increase economic activity that unemployment creates. These multipliers are all over the map. The Dept of Labor predicts a 2.0 multiplier. and Moody’s predicts a 1.55 multiplier… Every dollar given through unemployment, creates $2.00 (1.55) in overall economic benefit as it continues to filter up the economic ladder to the top….

So I took it upon myself to show  how many people were initially cut, how many more increased the totals weekly, how much economic loss this costs each state,  and where the states will be at the end of this week, the beginning of March… The next step, since I won’t have the time, would be for someone to compare these estimates of people getting booted off an income, with each individual’ states data on weekly new hires. simply to prove whether or not unemployment was due to laziness and not the lack of good full-time paying jobs…  It would be easy to determine,.  If one would find that 10,000 are getting the boot, and if the state is showing no new hires, that we are creating a large class of people who will soon be creating large problems, stemming from simply the necessity of survival…. Call it our Third World Quotient. (I used this source for each states unemployment benefit)

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Alabama   12.100 lost benefits on Dec. 28th.  925 added each week. Total off roles as of March 1st =20,425 @ $265 Alabama benefit = now hitting with impact of $5.4 million per week.  March 1st -Dec.28th Cumulative Lost Income Damage.= $43.9 million. Times 1.55 Multiplier effect, $68,045,000 dollars

Alaska    23,300 lost benefits on Dec. 28th.  448 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =27,332 @ $442 Alaska benefit = now hitting with impact of $24.1 million per week.  March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $111.9 million  Times 1.55 Multiplier effect, $ 173,439,916 dollars

Arizona   17,100 lost benefits on Dec. 28th.  1288 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 28,962 @ $240 Arizona benefit = now hitting with impact of $6.9 million per week.  March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $55 million  Times 1.55 Multiplier effect. $ 85,173,120 dollars

Arkansas  9,300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  775 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 16,275 @ $ 451 Arkansas benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 7.3 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $57.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $89,39,018 dollars.

California   214,800  lost benefits on Dec 28th.    16,078 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 359,502  @ $ 450   California benefit = now hitting with an impact of $161  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $1.29 billion times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 2,002,878,225 dollars.

Colorado   17,900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1400  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  30,500 @ $ 466  Colorado benefit = now hitting with an impact of $14.2   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $37.7 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 58,434,070  dollars.

Connecticut  26,000 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   1636  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   35816 @ $ 665 Connecticut benefit = now hitting with an impact of $23.8  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $221.8 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 343,878,815  dollars.

Delaware   3600 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   265  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  5985 @ $330  Delaware benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 2.0  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $15.8 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 24,513,637 dollars.

Florida 73,000 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  5007  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 118,063  @ $ 275  Florida benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 32.5   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $262.7  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 407,203,018 dollars

Georgia  54,400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   3167  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   82,903 @ $ 330  Georgia  benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 27.3   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $ 184.4 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 285,851,775  dollars

Hawaii  1900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   255  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 4195  @ $ 534  Hawaii benefit = now hitting with an impact of $  22.4  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $16.2  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $  25,224,157  dollars.

Idaho  2600 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  390  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 29,510 @ $ 357  Idaho benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 10.5  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $  15.5 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 24,098,392  dollars 

Illinois  64,300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   4432  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  104,188 @ $ 560  Illinois benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 58.3  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $471.7 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 731,237,920  dollars

Indiana  19,200 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1332  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  31,188  @ $ 390 Indiana benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 12.1  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =$98.2  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 152,297,730  dollars

Iowa  4300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   682  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   10,438 @ $ 481  Iowa benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 5.0  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $35.4 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 54,939,579  dollars

Kansas  4400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  678  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   10,502 @ $ 456  Kansas benefit = now hitting with an impact of $4.8   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $34 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 52,663,668 dollars

Kentucky  18,000 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1023 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  27,207 @ $ 415  Kentucky benefit = now hitting with an impact of $  11.3 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $93.8  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 145,397,013  dollars. 

Louisiana  6800 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  584 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  12,056 @ $ 247  Louisiana benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 3  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $  23.2  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 36,095,098  dollars.

Maine  3000 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  348  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  6132 @ $ 550  Maine benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 3.3  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $25.1 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 38,925,150  dollars

Maryland  22,900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1588  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 37,192  @ $ 470  Maryland benefit = now hitting with an impact of $  17.8 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $141.2  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 218,885,110 dollars.

Massachusetts  33,000 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  2711  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 57,399  @ $  674 Massachusetts benefit =  now hitting with an impact of $38.6 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $304.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 472,199,176 dollars.

Michigan  43,800 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  3648 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 76,632  @ $ 392  Michigan benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 30   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $236 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 365,872,416  dollars.

Minnesota  8500  lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1259  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 19,831 @ $393  Minnesota benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 7.8   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $25.6  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 39,689,168 dollars.

Mississippi  13,400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    257 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  15713  @ $ 235  Mississippi benefit = now hitting with an impact of $  3.7 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $34.2 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 53,022,051  dollars.

Missouri  19,800  lost benefits on Dec 28th. 1625  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 34,425   @ $ 320 Missouri benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 11  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $86.7 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 134,478,000 dollars.

Montana  1400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   275  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   3875 @ $ 446 Montana benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 1.7  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $11.7  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 18,233,037 dollars.

Nebraska   4400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  680  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  10,520  @ $ 362 Nebraska benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 3.8   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $ 27 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 41,858,060 dollars.

Nevada   17,600 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1313 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 29,417 @ $402 Nevada benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 11.8 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $ 94.5 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $146,481,463 dollars.

New Hampshire 4500 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  163 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 5967 @ $427 New Hampshire benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 2.5 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =$22.3 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 34,637,919 dollars.

New Jersey  90,300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  5001 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 135,309 @ $ 637 New Jersey benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 86.2 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =$ 718.5 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 1,113,775,230 dollars.

New Mexico  6000 lost benefits on Dec 28th. 490 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  10,410 @ $507 New Mexico benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 5.3 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $41.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 64,478,992 dollars.

New York  127,100 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  7365 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 193,385 @ $ 405 New York benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 78.3 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $649 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 1,005,922,293 dollars.

North Carolina  0  lost benefits on Dec 28th.   0 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 0 @ $350 North Carolina benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 0 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = 0 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 0  dollars. (All Damage to North Carolina was self imposed by their Republican State Legislature.)

North Dakota  300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   151 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   1659 @ $ 516  North Dakota benefit = now hitting with an impact of $  856,044 per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $1.5 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $  2,314,621 dollars.

Ohio    39,100 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    2473 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 61,357  @ $ 546  Ohio benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 33.5  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $ 274 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 425,083,795  dollars.

Oklahoma  4500 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   634 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  10,206 @ $ 386  Oklahoma benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 3.9   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $ 29.1 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 45,132,714  dollars.

Oregon  20,900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    1809 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   37,181 @ $ 524  Oregon benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 19.5  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $ 53.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 83,092,121 dollars.

Pennsylvania   86,900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   5048 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   132,332@ $ 581  Pennsylvania benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 76.9  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $ 636.9 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 987,146,888 dollars.

Rhode Island   4900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    417  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  8653  @ $703  Rhode Island benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 6  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $ 47.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 73,840,132 dollars.

South Carolina  15,400 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   1007 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  24,463 @ $326   South Carolina benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 8 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $19.8 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 30,679,289  dollars.

South Dakota   200 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    30 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  470 @ $333   South Dakota benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 156,510 per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $1.1  million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $1,729,102  dollars

Tennessee  19,500 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1519  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 33,171  @ $325 Tennessee benefit = now hitting with an impact of $   million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $85.6 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 132,665,081  dollars.

Texas   68,900 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  5484  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  118,259 @ $ 440 Texas benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 52 million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $411.7 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 638,201,960  dollars.

Utah  2500 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  388  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =   5992 @ $479 Utah benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 2.9  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $20.3 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 31,524,427  dollars

Vermont  600 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   98 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 1482  @ $425  Vermont benefit = now hitting with an impact of  $629,850 per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $4.4 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 6,857,587 dollars.

Virginia  9700 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   1344 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 21,796  @ $378  Virginia benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 8.2  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $59.5 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 92,267,532  dollars.

Washington  24.500 lost benefits on Dec 28th.   1809 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 40,781 @ $ 604 Washington benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 24.6  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage = $197.1 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 305,580,361 dollars.

West Virginia   6300 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  475  added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st =  10,575 @ $ 424  West Virginia benefit = now hitting with an impact of $4.5  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $35.8 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $55,451,250  dollars.

Wisconsin 23,700 lost benefits on Dec 28th.  1903 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 40,827  @ $363 Wisconsin benefit = now hitting with an impact of $14.8  million per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $117.1 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 181,530,582 dollars.

Wyoming  600 lost benefits on Dec 28th.    128 added each week.  Total off roles as of March 1st = 1752  @ $ 459 Wyoming benefit = now hitting with an impact of $ 804,168 per week.. March 1st -Dec.28th cumulative Lost Income Damage =  $5.4 million times 1.55 Multiplier effect $ 8,366,652 dollars.

==

If you total up the economic damage to the United States as a whole, it is now (w/e March 1) $13.3 billion behind in economic activity from where we would have been (if Federal long term unemployment had been included in the budget)….  Just for the record, no money is saved to the Federal deficit by cutting this benefit.  No money at all.  It was already allocated to be spent elsewhere.  Furthermore, when a new bill in which unemployment was completely “paid-for” went up in the Senate, Republicans went back on their word and still kept it from passing by imposing the 60 vote filibuster requirement….

Republicans said extended unemployment makes people lazy, and more prone to goof off and live the good life…  Such a comment must be taken with the knowledge that at job fairs, the turn-out is 1000 to 1 for all the jobs available.  There seem to be no jobs to grab.   The point of this exercise, was instead to show to all, exactly how the Republicans are hurting those  at home who ARE working…  This is an important part of the economy.  The following people do not now get paid.  Grocers, bars, car repairs, barbers, salons, gas stations, discount retail, utilities…  These take a hit…they don’t get paid. They cut back hours…

Hard working men and women have already or will lose hours of paid work, because of these Republican games around extended unemployment.   Realistically at this point it will be a miracle if this bill passes the House…  However  in all close races throughout 2014, we’ve just been given a very awesome bludgeon.   Mitch McConnell’s opponent in Kentucky should never fail to mention that Mitch McConnell’s vote on this issue cost the state of Kentucky $145 million dollars of economic activity in just the first 2 months so far…..  Everyone in Kentucky who gets a pink slip this year, or has their hours cuts, needs to know it was because of Mitch McConnell’s vote, that this happened… Their plight would not have happened had Kentucky had a Democrat voting for, instead of against his state’s constituent’s  own self interest.

The Republicans are scared and desperately trying to show they can cut the Federal Deficit even if that means they have no concern over who gets hurt as they do it. However being that all politics is local, ironically what they are accomplishing is achieving a theoretical ebullient distant philosophical haze of a victory far far away, but one where the consequences take place right in their communities, destroying their constituent’s lives….

As you help campaign throughout 2014, don’t paint this issue as … “aw, look at the mean Republicans hurting all the poor people…” Instead, color it as  “Those mean Republicans just took $13.3 billion out of our economy!… They stopped $638 million from coming into Texas!  They stopped $407 million from entering Florida!  They stopped $92 million from helping Virginia! They stopped $181 million from helping Wisconsin!  They stopped $58 million from assisting Colorado!  They stopped $285 million from coming into Georgia!  Even when it was paid for, they prevented $153 million from helping Indiana….

You see.  Even for a red in a red’s district, it’s tough to run on someone else’s deficits when you’ve just kicked those whose votes you need in the mouth and they are bleeding….

So let’s get ’em, tigers.  Our prey is wounded and we can catch ’em; this time we track them down all the way in for the kill….

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