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It appears that a meltdown is in progress over the Common Core Standards.  For those who invest, are published little prognostics on how certain people see the future.  To one of those groups the future of Common Core does not seem very bright.  (This group is (for those who keep track, usually 84% correct.)

It prides itself as being made up of:

•Current and former White House and U.S. Department of Education leaders;
• Current and former Congressional staff;
• State education leaders including state school chiefs and former governors; and
• Leaders of major education organizations, think tanks and other key
influentials

Here are why they say not to invest in businesses that prey solely off the funds of Common Core:

• Continuing a recent trend, Insiders remain concerned about the PARCC Common Core assessment consortium while giving the SBAC consortium higher marks.  • “Both are getting lost in the weeds, and neither is able to address the growing opposition to the tests, particularly from parents and local teachers unions.”

• Insiders remain unconvinced that ESEA will be reauthorized anytime before late 2014, largely due to more pressing matters facing Congress, such as the debt ceiling and the crisis in Syria. Insiders continue to give Congress and the Administration low marks on education policy.• “Arne Duncan has so mangled federal education at this point that it’s going to take a new administration and secretary to reframe the debate and offer a path forward.”

• Insiders think it is likely that more states will drop out of the Common Core assessment consortia, and see concerns about costs, politics, and technological challenges as key issues.  • 79% of Insiders believe that more states will drop out of the Common Core testing consortia. in 2013, and 90% are convinced the number of participating states will drop in 2014.

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• 61% of Insiders feel that the opponents of the Common Core and related assessments have the momentum right now. •“I used to think that unions were the most powerful education lobby at the state level.  Nope. College presidents. They won’t like this, they’ll tell their governors and federal reps. And it will die.  Very few believe that the public thinks the federal government is the best assessor of college quality? As much as the intelligentsia may dislike U.S. News and World Report, it has a brand that the public knows and respects. Further, the Administration’s college rating proposal is NCLB on steroids.”

• 97% of Insiders do not think that Congress will approve those aspects of Obama’s higher ed plan that require legislative approval.

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• “2014 is when the rubber meets the road and people who didn’t have the foresight to drop out beforehand or never sign up for this adventure finally realize what they’ve gotten themselves into.”

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