Today in a conference room off the first floor of the Senate building, a small discussion about large things will take place……very large things. The GAO will present their findings surrounding their investigation of the PBGC fund. What will be said about this small fund, should stab a stiletto into the heart of any future discussion about privatizing Social Security. Sure, if one is young, with no assets, and just beginning to invest, privatized Social Security initially sounds like a “grand” idea. Everyone assumes: “Wow, will I be rich when I retire!.”
But theory and practicality often diverge. When investing they rarely tred the same path. The prime reason is of course human. Humans in charge of lots, and I mean we are talking about tremendous sums of money here, tend to make dumb decisions. At least they look dumb to us as we see the liabilities of our plans rise far above our assets. But to those benefiting from commissions assessed to these large sums, they of course still look as brilliant as the day they were conceived..
Although the hearing (at this writing) has not yet occurred, one can expect to see what happens then a federally guaranteed pension fund becomes mismanaged (by good, well intentioned people of course). No one has a crystal ball. But to give one an idea of the types of choices that need to be made often on a daily basis: is it better to invest in stable income at 3% or play the foreign markets where risks are high, and occasionally, so are the payouts?
With assets at 55 billion, a quick calculation reveals that when volume of this type is turned over to private companies, commissions of 1% to 2% range amount to between 550 million to 1.1 Billion dollars. After grasping this fact, one slowly begins to understand why the financial sector is pushing hard to privatize Social Security, which as all of us know, is a “slightly” bigger fund.. Face it. If any of us were grossing half a billion a year, would we truly care too much if, with no penalty to ourselves, several million $300 checks were returned for insufficient funds?
So what happened with the PBGC?
First some background: (courtesy of Wikapedia)
The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (or PBGC) is an independent agency of the United States government that was created by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) to encourage both the continuation and maintenance of voluntary private defined benefit pension plans, as well as to provide timely and uninterrupted payments of pension benefits, and at the same time, keep pension insurance premiums at the lowest level necessary to carry out its operations.
One reason Congress enacted ERISA was “to prevent the ‘great personal tragedy’ suffered by employees whose vested benefits are not paid when pension plans are terminated.” When a defined benefit plan is properly funded by its sponsor, its assets should be approximately equal to its liability, and any shortfall (including benefit improvements) should be amortized in a relatively short period of time.
The key words throughout this diary are that in a properly funded pension plan, the assets should be approximately equal to its liabilities. Apparently this is not so, As anyone who has closely studied this administration might guess……the liabilities are indeed, greater than its assets. Just how much? That is the bombshell to be dropped in the Senate committee room today.
“The PBGC is responsible for the pensions of 1.3 million Americans, but we don’t currently have the resources to keep all of our future commitments,” the newly appointed PBGC Director Charles E.F. Millard announced on February 18, 2008. (The PBGC had an accumulated deficit of $14 billion as of year-end FY 2007. )
Several large airlines have filed for bankruptcy reorganization in an attempt to renegotiate terms of their pension liabilities. These debtors have asked the bankruptcy court to approve the termination of their old defined benefit plans insured by the PBGC.
On September 14, Delta Airlines and Northwest Airlines filed for bankruptcy the day before they would have had to contribute about $200 million, in total, to their pension plans. Both airlines’ pension plans are severely underfunded, Delta’s by about $10.6 billion and Northwest’s by about $5.6 billion. If these plans are taken over by the federal Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), the agency’s deficit would rise over a third from its current $23.3 billion.
As far back as 1984, in National Labor Relations Bd. v. Bildisco, 465 U.S. 513 (1984), the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Bankruptcy Code section 365(a) “includes within it collective-bargaining agreements subject to the National Labor Relations Act, and that the Bankruptcy Court may approve rejection of such contracts by the debtor-in-possession upon an appropriate showing.” The ruling came in spite of arguments that the employer should not use bankruptcy to breach contractual promises to make pension payments resulting from collective bargaining.
If a creditor is unsecured and there is not enough money,….. they usually are not paid. So as a matter of practical economics, if the downturn in a company’s fortunes which resulted in bankruptcy makes the performance of an executory contract less valuable than its breach, a rational company would breach!
As we look forward to the now flagrant warning signs of possible economic collapse, a total breakdown of our underfunded private pension system may make a difference in the number of homeless retirees wandering our streets after such a cataclysmic market event happens. After tomorrows’ hearing it will be obvious to most, that based on the performance of the Pension Benefits Guaranty Corporation’s own assets over the past seven years of Republican administration, that at least when Social Security is handled by a government of the people,… and not by a corporation dedicated to it’s own profit,…. we have a slightly better chance of having actual citizens receive actual benefits.
For the bottom line is this. When handled privately…………….bankruptcy, reorganization, and non payment, is always cheaper than fulfilling one’s obligations.
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February 28, 2008 at 10:20 pm
Alan Coffey
K;
So you are arguing that we should move SS to a defined contribution plan? That, in itself argues for privatization. Remember, SS is a welfare program, not an insurance program.
I don’t think your argument about the PBGC relates to SS. The corps, under current law, are allowed to dump their unfunded pension liabilities on the government so they do just that, as you point out. Defined benefit plans have been a crap shoot for employees since their inception. The assumptions about growth in funds set aside are just that, assumptions. And we all know which way management is going to go with that. They have always promised high and funded low – just like the pols with SS.
The assumptions the private corps used in funding their pensions have been reported to the government on Form 5500 for a long time. ERISA law demands they be appropriately funded. Yet they remain largely underfunded. Private corps underfund. The Government underfunds. Both overpromise.
Maybe outlawing defined benefit pensions is the way to go? I don’t know, but that will not fix the immediate problem.
I agree we should remove the opportunity to dump pensions on the taxpayer through bankruptcy. But then, what do we do with the liability? I think liquidating the corps other assets to put whatever they can in the pension fund is a good idea. Then the employees don’t get what they were promised either.
That is what will happen with SS. People who depend upon it will not get what they have been promised because pols have promised more than the system can support. Unless, of course, we allow more immigration to get more workers per retiree 😉
February 29, 2008 at 9:46 am
david anderson
I don’t see why there should even be a hearing on this private matter.
If we stopped considering private accounts in Social Security, it would be a sad day indeed. I disagree on this being a reason for opposing privatization of Social Security. It is my money, I have a right to have some measure of control over it as opposed to seeing guaranteed losses. Private accounts would be the best solution to save the program and boost the economy.
February 29, 2008 at 9:49 am
david anderson
Social Security needs to change. Congress solved the pension issue for most Americans in 1975 when it made a portable retirement option. What the PBGC shows us is that it is a bad idea to let others control your retirement. That goes for both private business and government. The government system is worse off than the private.
February 29, 2008 at 9:52 am
david anderson
I am kidding about the holding hearings remark. It is to show you how ridiculous it is not to consider reforming social security. If we think it is worth looking at private arrangements, should we not look at what the public system is doing to all of us?
February 29, 2008 at 8:06 pm
Merit-bound Alley » Around the Horn Friday: The New Deal
[…] bottle would like to talk to you outside, please. kavips also gives us some straight facts on the Senate hearing on the PBGC fund. This post is too in-depth and well-written to summarize and do it justice. Just read and […]
March 1, 2008 at 11:09 am
kavips
Allen, you jumped ahead.
My point isolated to this post, is that if a 55 Billion fund loses money when it is privatized, how much more will be lost if the SS Fund, which is much larger, is also privatized?
David also misses another salient point in his defense of privbatization. He assumes it is his money. It is not, just as a 1,000,000 dollar hospital bill, covered up to deductible by his private insurance company, is also not his money. His money is being paid to someone else.
He implies that if he opted out of Social Security, and then were his investments at some point to fall flat, he would be out of luck. Fortunately for him, he has lived in a time where we have yet to experience a moment when the majority of our population simultaneously find themselves out of luck all at the same time.
The Social Security Administration was established solely because during its formative years, The Great Depression, a rather large number of people were intimately familiar with what happens when everyone goes bottom up simultaneously.
The whole purpose of the Social Security fund was to prevent a re-occurrence of that same scenario.
But of course both sides can banter back and forth their merits based on their personal observations. The only way to answer that question with certainty, is to do a controlled trial…and test the results.
The PBGC is just that trial, and now with a 29% deficit, based on solely on Republican bad speculative investing, we see that it fails.
End of argument.
March 5, 2008 at 1:14 am
Alan Coffey
SS Fund? You mean the IOU’s from the government? Remember, there is no money in the lock box.
“based on solely on Republican bad speculative investing” What? Didn’t we already discuss how the Airlines just dumped, and the auto companies are about to dump, millions in unfunded obligations in the fund? That is more of the reason for the deficit than bad investment timing.
March 5, 2008 at 3:40 pm
kavips
True, but I was staying focused on the hearing. The succession of political appointees who ran the PBGC during the Bush Administration, made investment choices that ran counter to the market. They lost money when everyone else was making it………
That was the whole point of this hearing. They could have done much better had a more balance approach been taken during the past several years.
The current director, who happens to be the first one ever who had to pass Senate confirmation, has a plan that will, if the economy holds, rebuild the funds assets.
March 6, 2008 at 6:56 am
Alan Coffey
Sorry K. I missed that part. Forrest, trees, that kind of thing. Bad investments are not the exclusive purview of government administrators 🙂